Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Génesis PN		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.00	2.20
	3.2	2.85	2.15
	3.29	2.9	2.16
	3.38	3.06	2.24	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.13
	3.12	3.22	2.29
	3.15	2.9	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.65)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Génesis PN
28.3%

Draw
30.4%

CD Marathón
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.9%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Marathón's recent form is better than expected.

Génesis PN - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Balanta R. A. (G) 9. Alderete E. 29. Alvarado A. 12. Gabriel Araujo 44. Gamboa M. 15. Maldonado E. (C) 33. Melendez D. 13. Mosquera J. 17. Nunez D. 66. Perez K. 6. Sander R.	1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 22. Argueta C. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 3. Bodden K. 20. Bueso J. 74. Carcamo L. 11. Messiniti N. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. (C) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.
Substitutes
11. Felix B. 24. Fonseca C. . Guillen C. 18. Lacayo J. 10. Martinez W. 8. Nieto J. 1. Rodriguez D. (G) 16. Sabillon F. 14. Solano M.	60. Arriaga L. 28. Card S. 7. Castillo I. 9. Farioli B. 56. Gaido C. 31. Juarez H. (G) 12. Mejia Y. 43. Montoya L. 21. Ramos O. 41. Sevilla C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Arriaga Chavez J. A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Sander R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Carcamo L. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Ramirez D. ⚽,
52', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Bueso J. ⚽,
61', Melendez D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
61', Alvarado A. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
77', Nunez D. ↓, Martinez W. ↑,
77', Mosquera J. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
86', Messiniti N. ↓, Farioli B. ↑,
87', Bueso J. ↓, Montoya L. ↑,
90+4', Argueta C. ↓, Canales M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.

Marathón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11

Last Results with these Odds

CD Marathón - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Atlético Independiente - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Génesis PN - Platense	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Génesis PN - Choloma	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLT
- CD Marathón
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Antigua GFC - CD Marathón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
18.04.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	0:1
26.02.26	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:2
18.10.25	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	0:3
09.08.25	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:0
19.04.25	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	0:0
17.02.25	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:1
23.11.24	CD Marathón - Génesis PN	1:1

Upcoming Matches