Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)


	CD Marathón		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.32	4.55	7.81
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.33	4.85	7.8
	1.37	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.63 ↓ (4.8)	6.88 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
67.1%

Draw
19.7%

Honduras Progreso
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

17.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marathón will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Honduras Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marathón won 3.

Recent matches Marathón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Honduras Progreso has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marathón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marathón is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 38 head-to-head matches Marathón won 18 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 65-43.

Including matches at home between the teams Marathón won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	CD Marathón - Real España	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
25.01.23	CD Marathón - Vida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWTL
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.02.23	Olancho - Honduras Progreso	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	3:2 ✺
28.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:2 ✺
25.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
01.10.22	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	5:1
06.08.22	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	0:2
06.04.22	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	1:1
13.02.22	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	2:1
09.10.21	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	2:1
08.08.21	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	1:2
07.03.21	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	1:1

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