The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Tegucigalpa 51.8%
Draw 27.6%
CD Marathón 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
25%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
23.8%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (G) 23. Alvarez J. 9. Benguche J. 40. Bennett C. 33. Chirinos M. (C) 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 32. Mulet A. 7. Pinto J. 8. Rodriguez E. 31. Sanchez C.
1. Rougier J. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 7. Castillo I. 9. Farioli B. 2. Figueroa H. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 27. Perez C. 10. Ramirez D. (C) 4. Rivera J. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.
Substitutes
19. Arboleda Y. 27. Bengtson J. 21. Figueroa J. 6. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 44. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 76. Paguada D. 3. Queiroz F. 14. Ramirez S. 5. Rivas E. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
60. Arriaga L. 3. Bodden K. 79. Castillo R. 26. Elvir S. 11. Messiniti N. 22. Nunez M. 21. Ramos O. 30. Sacaza C. 23. Samudio C. (G) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
37', Farioli B. 🟨,
37', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
45+5', Menjivar E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. (Penalty Awarded),
59', 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Chirinos M. ⚽,
64', Perez C. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
65', Aguilera J. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
75', Chirinos M. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
78', Farioli B. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
78', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
87', Pinto J. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
88', Alvarez J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
88', Benguche J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
90+3', Ramirez D. 🟨,
90+7', Rodriguez E. ↓, Paguada D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.
Olimpia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Marathón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Olimpia
8
5
2
1
19:7
12
17
3
Marathon
8
5
2
1
14:6
8
17
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.09%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Honduras
Usa
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Menjivar E. (G) 
Hernandez E. 
Mulet A. 
Rivera J. 
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