The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lobos UPNFM 30.9%
Draw 29.3%
CD Marathón 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
29.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
29%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Lobos UPNFM has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lobos UPNFM has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:37 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lobos UPNFM against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
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