Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)


	Olancho		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.18	5.34	15.51
	1.18	5	15
	1.2	5.9	12.25
	1.2	5.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)	5.52 ↑ (4.06)	12.85 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
76.4%

Draw
16.5%

Honduras Progreso
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

22.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.

Honduras Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Honduras Progreso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Honduras Progreso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Olancho - Honduras Progreso Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Olancho will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Honduras Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Olancho is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Honduras Progreso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Olancho is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Olancho won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Olancho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.02.23	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	4:1 ✺
01.02.23	Motagua - Olancho	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Olancho - Vida	3:1 ✺
25.01.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Olancho - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLT
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	3:2 ✺
28.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:2 ✺
25.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Vida - Honduras Progreso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
09.10.22	Olancho - Honduras Progreso	2:1
10.08.22	Honduras Progreso - Olancho	2:2

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