Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	CD Marathón		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33
	1.71	3.45	4.4
	1.7	3.6	4.67
	1.73	3.67	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.66	3.62	4.57
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)	3.53 ↓ (3.73)	4.52 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
53.9%

Draw
25.9%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Marathón's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Samudio C. (C) 3. Bodden K. 2. Figueroa H. 4. Rivera J. 27. Anderson I. 29. Aguila R. 6. Chavez G. 17. Vega Orellana A. N. 30. Sacaza C. 7. Castillo I. 13. Tejeda A.	1. Roa A. (G) 16. Jones A. 34. Ramos J. 2. Martinez D. 6. Martinez A. N. 17. Funes A. 23. Delgado E. 15. Dominguez J. 32. Monico D. 7. Reyes D. (C) 9. Martinez G.
Substitutes
11. Anangono J. 20. Gutierrez Y. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 25. Ortiz L. (G) 10. Ramirez D. 21. Ramos O. 41. Sevilla C. 15. Vargas A. 9. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	21. Agurcia E. 14. Carrasco M. 50. Deras C. 10. Dolmo Y. 4. Enamorado N. 13. Felix B. 25. Gomez A. 22. Gonzalez O. 20. Gotay P. 11. Martinez R. 3. Ramirez A. 27. Reyes F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Jones A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sacaza C. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
46', Chavez G. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
54', 🟨,
55', Dominguez J. 🟨,
56', Ramos J. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
57', Funes A. ↓, Dolmo Y. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Bodden K. ⚽,
65', Reyes D. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
65', Martinez G. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
68', Tejeda A. ↓, Anangono J. ↑,
72', Castillo I. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
79', Martinez R. 🟨,
81', Anderson I. ↓, Gutierrez Y. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Monico D. ↓, Agurcia E. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marathón won 3.

Recent matches Marathón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad Tocoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marathón is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Marathón won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:10 (average 1.8:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Marathón won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:4 (average 2.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
30.01.25	Motagua - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	CD Marathón - Olancho	1:3 penalties ✺
04.12.24	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTLW
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.01.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Real España	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
10.11.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	0:0
14.09.24	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1
13.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	1:2
17.02.24	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:1
29.10.23	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1
03.09.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	2:0
29.04.23	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0

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