Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.1	2.32
	2.79	3.21	2.5	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	2.94	3.18	2.41	Watch
	2.62	3.33	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.66)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
32.9%

Draw
29.1%

CD Marathón
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Olancho - CD Marathón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Olancho (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olancho (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 14. Argueta C. 8. Gomez H. 10. Leiva G. 34. Lopez K. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 7. Rodriguez D. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	1. Rougier J. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 7. Castillo I. 54. Fernandez J. 2. Figueroa H. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 11. Messiniti N. 22. Nunez M. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.
Substitutes
17. Benitez E. 11. Calix C. 23. Delgado J. 15. Dominguez J. 24. Elvir O. 1. Fonseca H. (G) 53. Hydes Rivera D. T. 3. Lasso J. . Martinez 16. Moncada M. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 9. Sanchez J.	35. Alvarado 60. Arriaga L. 3. Bodden K. 79. Castillo R. 26. Elvir S. 13. Moya B. 27. Perez C. 21. Ramos O. 30. Sacaza C. 23. Samudio C. (G) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Fernandez J. ⚽,
23', Rivera J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Almendarez O. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lopez K. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
46', Gomez H. ↓, Martinez ↑,
56', 🟨,
57', Leiva G. 🟨,
59', Mejia Y. 🟨,
63', Perea G. 🟨,
64', Fernandez J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
64', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
65', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
72', Nunez M. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
81', Messiniti N. 🟨,
82', Leiva G. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
82', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
82', Messiniti N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
14.02.26	Olancho - Juticalpa	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Real España - Olancho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTTL
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.02.26	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	CD Marathón - Platense	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	CD Marathón - Real España	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1
11.12.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	0:3
01.11.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1
24.08.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1
12.04.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	0:1
13.02.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:0
08.12.24	CD Marathón - Olancho	1:3 penalties

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