Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula) 🌤️ ...


	CD Marathón		Olancho

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	4.20
	1.65	3.45	4.3
	1.65	3.54	4.24
	1.72	3.81	4.46	Watch
	1.61	3.45	4.15
	1.64	3.6	4.56	Watch
	1.68	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	4.33 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
54.1%

Draw
25.2%

Olancho
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CD Marathón - Olancho Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Marathón will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 22. Argueta C. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 9. Farioli B. 2. Figueroa H. (C) 12. Mejia Y. 11. Messiniti N. 10. Ramirez D. 4. Rivera J. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.	29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 12. Andino D. 27. Bengtson J. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 23. Delgado J. 8. Gomez H. 3. Lasso J. 33. Munoz N. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
3. Bodden K. 20. Bueso J. 74. Carcamo L. 7. Castillo I. 77. Elis A. 13. Fernandez J. 56. Gaido C. 31. Juarez H. (G) 43. Montoya L. 29. Perez C. 21. Ramos O. 34. Vargas N.	58. Amador O. 17. Antunez M. 16. Banegas Y. 22. Canavesio R. 39. Garcia M. 11. Joanderson 5. Martinez D. 15. Padilla O. 26. Perea G. 24. Pozantes S. 18. Suazo C. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽,
7', Messiniti N. 🟨,
13', 2 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
28', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Pozantes S. ↑,
45+2', Gomez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Delgado J. ↓, Antunez M. ↑,
46', Gomez H. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
46', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Padilla O. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Pozantes S. ⚽,
66', Lasso J. 🟨,
72', Messiniti N. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
73', Argueta C. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
74', Padilla O. 🟨,
76', Pozantes S. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez D. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
85', Mejia Y. ↓, Aguilera J. ↑,
85', Ramirez D. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
88', Sorto Caballero T. A. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Marathón carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marathón has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Marathón against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	11	6	4	1	18:9	9	22
6	Olancho	11	2	7	2	11:11	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
10.10.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	3:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.09.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWT
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.10.26	Olancho - Atlético Independiente	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Olancho - Real España	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Choloma - Olancho	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Motagua - Olancho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.04.26	CD Marathón - Olancho	0:2
21.02.26	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1
11.12.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	0:3
01.11.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1
24.08.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	1:1
12.04.25	Olancho - CD Marathón	0:1

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