The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD Marathón 46.4%
Draw 28.1%
Olancho 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
25.2%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
24.5%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Marathón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
CD Marathón - Olancho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 3. Bodden K. 24. Carcamo L. 7. Castillo I. 26. Elvir S. 2. Figueroa H. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 11. Messiniti N. 10. Ramirez D. (C) 17. Vega Orellana A. N.
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 14. Argueta C. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 8. Gomez H. 34. Lopez K. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.
Substitutes
14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 60. Arriaga L. 79. Castillo R. 9. Farioli B. 56. Gaido C. 22. Nunez M. 21. Ramos O. 30. Sacaza C. 23. Samudio C. (G) 41. Sevilla C. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.
11. Calix C. 63. Chavez M. 23. Delgado J. 24. Elvir O. 1. Fonseca H. (G) 3. Lasso J. 10. Leiva G. 5. Martinez D. 12. Mejia Y. 27. Murillo D. 9. Sanchez J. 50. Villatoro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
45', Gomez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bodden K. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
46', Gomez H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
56', Castillo I. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
56', Carcamo L. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
57', Munoz N. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
64', Munoz N. 🟨,
66', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
67', Messiniti N. ↓, Sevilla C. ↑,
67', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
70', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Ramirez Arauz M. R. 🟨,
81', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 3.
Marathón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Olancho is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Marathón is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).