Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse (Choluteca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Lobos UPNFM		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.36	3.05	2.99
	2.42	3.07	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.06	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	3.03 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lobos UPNFM
39.9%

Draw
29.8%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad Tocoa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lobos UPNFM (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valladares C. (G) 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 4. Medina L. 24. Silveira E. 5. Garcia F. 18. Garcia R. 32. Ponce J. 7. Rochez C. 14. Gutierrez C. 9. Rochez J. (C) 27. Pena K.	27. Reyes F. (G) 4. Enamorado N. 22. Gonzalez O. 2. Martinez D. 25. Gomez A. 32. Monico D. 23. Delgado E. 15. Dominguez J. 3. Ramirez W. 7. Reyes D. 11. Martinez R. (C)
Substitutes
8. Aceituno M. 21. Barrios O. 38. Dolmo S. 10. Flores R. 15. Hernandez A. 55. Lagos J. (G) 12. Lopez E. 17. Padilla J. 16. Vasquez E.	28. Asprilla L. 14. Carrasco M. 13. Felix B. 17. Fuentes A. 20. Gotay P. 6. Martinez A. N. 5. Moreno B. 18. Quioto D. 1. Roa A. (G) 30. Turner B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Rochez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Gomez A. 🟨,
59', Monico D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
63', Gutierrez C. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
63', Rochez C. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
64', Delgado E. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
64', Reyes D. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
76', Martinez R. ↓, Turner B. ↑,
76', Ramirez W. ↓, Carrasco M. ↑,
78', Garcia R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
89', Pena K. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
89', Ponce J. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lobos UPNFM will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.04.25	Real España - Lobos UPNFM	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWTWT
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.04.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Olancho - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:0 ✺
13.03.25	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
16.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	1:1
23.11.24	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1
18.09.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	0:0
31.03.24	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0
31.01.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	2:1
30.09.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
05.08.23	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:0

Upcoming Matches