The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 58.8%
Draw 22.7%
CF Montréal 18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
17.7%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for New York City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for CF Montréal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 12th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
Recent results have been tough for NY City (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Montreal has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Montreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY City has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, NY City is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY City has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:13 (averaging 1.4:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY City against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.4 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
New York City: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
CF Montréal - the odds 5 are the expected chance of winning is 18.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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