Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 4

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Marques D. (Bra)


	CRB Maceio		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.86	3.25	4.1
	1.81	3.6	4.9
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.84	3.54	4.33
	1.78	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)	3.43 ↑ (3.17)	4.29 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
51%

Draw
27.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	4%	4%

CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 5.

Recent matches CRB is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Lucas Falcao (Red Card)

Last 13 head-to-head matches CRB won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
29.04.23	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio	3:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.04.23	CRB Maceio - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
08.04.23	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
29.04.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Mirassol	1:3 ✺
21.04.23	Botafogo SP - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Sergipe - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:2
09.05.22	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.22	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
04.11.21	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
25.07.21	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	2:3
05.12.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	3:0
02.09.20	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2

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