Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.10
	2.4	3.1	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3.21	3.11
	2.54	3.02	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3	3.3
	2.61	3.1	2.76	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.28)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
38.3%

Draw
30.4%

CRB Maceio
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). CRB will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 3. Ericson 13. Wallace 4. Vilar 31. Pedro Henrique 20. Yuri Felipe 10. Rafael Gava 6. Patrick Brey (C) 8. Everton Morelli 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Hygor	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 32. Hereda 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
18. Arthur Caike 26. Felipe Vieira 15. Guilherme Mariano 17. Guilherme Queiroz 33. Hebert 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 5. Leandro Maciel 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley Santos 30. Ze Hugo	22. Bressan 45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 11. Guilherme Pato 2. Kevin 77. Leo Campos 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 33. Lyncon 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Dada Belmonte ⚽, Lucas Lovat (A),
45', Everton Morelli 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wallace ↓, Felipe Vieira ↑,
46', Yuri Felipe ↓, Kelvin ↑,
53', Henri 🟨,
56', Thiaguinho 🟨,
67', Danielzinho ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
67', Thiaguinho ↓, De Lucca ↑,
70', Everton Morelli ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
70', Jefferson Nem ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
77', Mikael ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
82', Pedro Henrique ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
89', Dada Belmonte ↓, Bressan ↑,
90', Douglas Baggio 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Botafogo SP could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Injury) Darlan (Inactive) Jonathan (Inactive) Leandro Maciel (Inactive) Marco Antonio (Inactive) Matheus Sales (Inactive)

There will not play in CRB: Matheus Albino (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	3:3 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	CRB Maceio - Ponte Preta	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.09.25	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	3:2
26.05.25	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:1
24.09.24	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:0
17.07.24	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	4:1
05.08.23	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	0:0
29.04.23	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:0
20.12.20	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	1:0

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