Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 1

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.43	3	2.9
	2.62	3.09	3.05
	2.5	2.88	3
	2.59	2.92	3.04	Watch
	2.48	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	2.98 ↑ (2.89)	2.94 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
37.1%

Draw
31.2%

Atlético Goianiense
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

34%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2.

Sampaio Corrêa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Sergipe - Sampaio Corrêa	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Campinense	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.03.23	Maringá - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.04.23	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 penalties ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Atlético Goianiense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
11.03.23	Aparecidense - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.10.18	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2
23.06.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	2:3
19.11.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
31.07.16	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	4:1
10.11.15	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
01.08.15	Atlético Goianiense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
22.11.14	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	1:2

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