Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.28	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.25	3.05
	2.07	3.36	3.26
	2.25	3	3
	2.33	3.73	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
40.3%

Draw
27.6%

Vitória Salvador
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 97. Dada Belmonte 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 44. Henri 32. Hereda 36. Lucas Lovat 28. Mikael 21. Pedro Castro	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas (C) 25. Caca 4. Camutanga 17. Cantalapiedra A. 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 10. Matheuzinho 45. Nathan Mendes 13. Ramon 79. Renato Kayzer
Substitutes
22. Bressan 16. David Braw 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 9. Joao Neto 2. Kevin 77. Leo Campos 50. Luizao 33. Lyncon 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 82. Wallace	28. Anderson 95. Caique Goncalves 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 36. Luan Candido 20. Lucas Silva 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Baralhas ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Erick ⚽,
12', 1 - 2, Crystopher Ribeiro ⚽,
28', Hereda ↓, Kevin ↑,
44', 1 - 3, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
45+2', Renato Kayzer ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
46', Camutanga ↓, Edenilson ↑,
46', Pedro Castro ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
48', 2 - 3, Douglas Baggio ⚽,
61', Dada Belmonte ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
61', Douglas Baggio ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
63', Ramon 🟨,
66', Matheuzinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
74', 2 - 4, Tarzia D. ⚽,
77', Danielzinho ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
82', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
86', Erick ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Vitória Salvador - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.87%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	CRB Maceio - Coruripe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWLW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:2
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.23	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	6:0
24.05.23	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:0
22.11.21	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	3:1
15.08.21	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.21	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.20	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	2:1

Upcoming Matches