Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vitória Salvador		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.62	2.98	2.82	Watch
	2.7	3.13	2.96
	2.63	3.13	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.65	3.13	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)	3.11 ↓ (3.31)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
36.4%

Draw
30.4%

Mirassol
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Vitória Salvador - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Mirassol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 17. Cantalapiedra A. 4. Camutanga 25. Caca 45. Nathan Mendes 44. Baralhas (C) 6. Emmanuel Martinez 13. Ramon 33. Erick 10. Matheuzinho 79. Renato Kayzer	22. Walter (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 5. Yuri Lara 11. Negueba 18. Gabriel Pires 27. Galeano A. 29. Tiquinho Soares (C)
Substitutes
28. Anderson 95. Caique Goncalves 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 31. Lopez R. 36. Luan Candido 11. Osvaldo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 88. Ze Vitor	77. Alesson 23. Alex Muralha (G) 99. Andre Luis 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 8. Denilson 95. Edson Carioca 17. Everton Galdino 2. Lucas Oliveira 9. Nathan Fogaca 7. Shaylon 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Gabriel Pires 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Baralhas ⚽,
45+6', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Pires ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
58', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
58', Ramon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
61', Yuri Lara ↓, Shaylon ↑,
61', Neto Moura ↓, Denilson ↑,
68', Matheuzinho 🟨,
69', Erick ↓, Anderson ↑,
69', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
69', Galeano A. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
70', Reinaldo 🟨,
72', Edson Carioca 🟨,
73', Igor Formiga ↓, Alesson ↑,
75', Matheuzinho ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

Recent performances by Vitória have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mirassol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho (Muscle Injury) Dudu (Inactive) Edu (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Marinho (Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo (Injury) Igor Carius (Injury) Jose Aldo (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Renato Marques (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Vitoria	31	10	7	14	34:45	-11	37
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36:44	-8	36

Last Results with these Odds

Mirassol - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.32%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
19.03.26	Grêmio - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.03.26	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Palmeiras - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Mirassol - Santos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Mirassol - Portuguesa	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Mirassol - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0
26.07.25	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	0:0
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.08.22	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:2

Upcoming Matches