Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 1

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Vila Nova		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.57	2.85	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.58	3	2.78	Watch
	2.6	3.26	2.88
	2.79	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.63	2.9	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	2.76 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
35.8%

Draw
30.6%

CRB Maceio
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Vila Nova - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). CRB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leite H. (G) 22. Hayner 4. Pedro Romano 14. Anderson Jesus 13. Willian Formiga 5. Joao Vieira 20. Nathan Camargo 7. Andre Luis 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 49. Dellatorre	12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 22. Bressan 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 36. Lucas Lovat 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 21. Pedro Castro 7. Douglas Baggio 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael
Substitutes
33. Bruno Xavier 38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 15. Dudu 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo 6. Higor 9. Rafa Silva 11. Ryan 3. Tiago Pagnussat 8. Willian Maranhao	18. Geovane 14. Guilherme Estrella 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 9. Joao Neto 77. Leo Campos 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 34. Lyncon 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G)
Coaches
Mamede A.	Eduardo Barroca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Mikael ⚽,
20', Anderson Jesus 🟨,
22', Danielzinho 🟨,
24', Joao Vieira 🟨,
37', Bressan 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hayner ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Andre Luis ↓, Ryan ↑,
46', Anderson Jesus ↓, Higor ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Dellatorre ⚽,
58', Mikael ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
58', Douglas Baggio ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
58', Danielzinho ↓, Guilherme Estrella ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
64', Pedro Romano 🟥,
68', Leo Campos 🟥,
69', Dada Belmonte ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
69', Pedro Castro ↓, Geovane ↑,
69', Janderson ↓, Tiago Pagnussat ↑,
69', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
71', Guilherme Pato 🟨,
75', Dudu 🟨,
81', Crystopher Ribeiro ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
86', Dellatorre ↓, Caio Marcelo ↑,
90+6', Vinicius Barata 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Joao Neto ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.

Vila Nova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CRB is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	2:1 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Velo Clube - Vila Nova	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL
- CRB Maceio
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
18.03.26	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	CRB Maceio - Coruripe	5:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Sousa - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.11.25	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0
22.07.25	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:0
04.09.24	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	1:0
17.05.24	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	1:0
03.09.23	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	0:1
21.05.23	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	0:3
22.09.22	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	1:0

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