Match Info

Date: 7 August 2021, Saturday


	CS Alagoano		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.65	2.8	2.65	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.85
	2.74	2.94	3.05
	2.6	2.8	2.87
	2.65	2.97	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.67)	2.84 ↓ (2.93)	2.84 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
34.7%

Draw
32.6%

Avaí
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for CS Alagoano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CS Alagoano - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches CSA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches CSA won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
01.08.21	Remo - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
27.07.21	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
21.07.21	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
17.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWTW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
31.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	0:0 ✺
28.07.21	Avaí - Remo	1:0 ✺
25.07.21	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
22.07.21	Avaí - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
17.07.21	Cruzeiro - Avaí	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.01.21	CS Alagoano - Avaí	1:1
13.10.20	Avaí - CS Alagoano	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
06.10.19	CS Alagoano - Avaí	3:1
12.05.19	Avaí - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
17.11.18	CS Alagoano - Avaí	0:1
27.07.18	Avaí - CS Alagoano	0:0

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