Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	Vitória Salvador		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.76	3.46	5.57
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.76	3.48	4.95	Watch
	1.76	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	5 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
53.1%

Draw
28.3%

Avaí
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

28.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vitória Salvador - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitória Salvador will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 22. Railan 2. Zeca (C) 5. Matheus Trindade 13. Camutanga 8. Rodrigo Andrade 4. Wagner Leonardo 7. Mateus Goncalves 9. Leo Gamalho 11. Osvaldo 10. Matheuzinho	1. Igor Bohn (G) 31. Bruno Cortez (C) 44. Douglas 4. Roberto Rosa 72. Thales Oleques 16. Jean Cleber 23. Rafael Gava 5. Wellington 25. Natanael 9. Gabriel Poveda 10. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
6. Edson Lucas 18. Gege 21. Jhonny Lucas 3. Joao Victor 17. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 14. Marco Antonio 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 19. Welder 20. Wellington Nem 16. Yan Souto	3. Alan 22. Douglas Friedrich (G) 68. Edinho 20. Gaspar 77. Giovanni 30. Guilherme Santos 98. Igor 7. Jael 95. Jonathan Costa 28. Leandro Carvalho 38. Rocha F. 39. Xavier
Coaches
Conde L.	Barroca E.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Avaí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vitória is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Giovanni Augusto (Injury) Vicente (Injury)

There will not play in Avaí: Didi (Injury) Guilherme Santos (Injury) Otavio Passos (Injury) Thiago Rosa (Injury) Waguininho (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.23	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	6:0 ✺
01.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.09.23	Nação - Avaí	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.09.23	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
03.09.23	Avaí - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
02.09.23	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.05.23	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1
05.11.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1
31.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	0:0
13.01.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	2:2
10.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
12.08.17	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	0:1
14.05.17	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	0:0

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