Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	CS Alagoano		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.35	2.8	3.05	Watch
	2.24	2.85	3.45
	2.35	3.05	3.58
	2.3	2.88	3.4
	2.26	3.04	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)	2.92 ↓ (3.21)	3.35 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
40.3%

Draw
31.9%

Botafogo SP
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CS Alagoano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	20.6%	26.5%

CS Alagoano - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

CSA is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.20	Avaí - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
10.10.20	CS Alagoano - Paraná Clube Curitiba	4:0 ✺
06.10.20	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Vitória Salvador - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWWLW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.20	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
02.10.20	Botafogo SP - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Osasco Sporting - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW

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