The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 58.2%
Draw 25.1%
Botafogo SP 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
24.8%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
24.1%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
16.7%
8.3%
Chapecoense - Botafogo SP Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chapecoense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 25. Victor Caetano 4. Joao Paulo 3. Eduardo Doma 99. Rafael Carvalheira 19. David Antunes 48. Pedro Martins 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 77. Italo 9. Pedro Perotti
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Wallison 3. Ericson (C) 4. Vilar 6. Risso G. 8. Wesley Dias 5. Gabriel Bispo 7. Gabriel Barros 10. Dramisino A. 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Guilherme Queiroz
Substitutes
27. Eduardo Person 26. Everton 76. Felipe Vieira 2. Gabriel Inocencio 5. Jorge Jimenez 21. Kauan 12. Leo Vieira (G) 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa 28. Romulo 70. Rubens Ricoldi
14. Alisson Cassiano 19. Carrillo R. 16. Jean Victor 15. Jhony Douglas 12. Joao Carlos (G) 17. Jonathan Cafu 20. Marquinho 18. Matheus Barbosa 13. Rafael Milhorim 21. Robinho
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Angeli R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
34', Pedro Martins 🟨,
44', David Antunes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pedro Martins ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
46', David Antunes ↓, Everton ↑,
60', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,
75', Pedro Perotti ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
78', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
78', Dramisino A. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
84', Gabriel Barros ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
84', Joao Paulo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Vilar ⚽, Jefferson Nem (A),
89', Jefferson Nem ↓, Rafael Milhorim ↑,
90', Wesley Dias ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
90+1', Wallison 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽,
90+6', Carrillo R. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
Chapecoense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Botafogo SP has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chapecoense is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Brazil
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Rafael Santos (G) 
Clar W. 
Risso G. 
Carrillo R. 
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