Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Retrô Brasil |
|
Lagarto |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.41 |
3.85 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.26 |
3.77 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.32 |
3.86 |
|
 |
1.52 |
3.85 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.52) |
3.43 ↓
(3.85) |
4.04 ↓
(5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Retrô Brasil
50.6% | Draw
26.7% | Lagarto
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagarto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Retrô Brasil that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Retrô Brasil - Lagarto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Bruninho ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Bruno Marques ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Recent performances by Retrô have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Lagarto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Retrô is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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