Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	BTV Action
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.75
	1.83	3.30	4.00
	1.7	3.35	4.95
	1.68	3.55	5.17
	1.83	3.4	4.47	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.1
	1.75	3.57	4.98
	1.74	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)	3.44 ↓ (3.58)	4.77 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
53.6%

Draw
27%

Spartak Trnava
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA 1948 Sofia's performance.

Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Trnava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA 1948 Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	18.5%	11.1%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Trnava will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Trnava (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Trnava (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. 4. Hoffmann A. 3. Dvali L. (C) 22. Gasevic O. 20. Sobrero B. 8. Zemzemi M. 33. Cuellar H. 11. Rusev G. 30. Meyer J. 93. Diallo M.	72. Vantruba M. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 52. Sabo E. (C) 13. Ujlaky M. 29. Mikovic M. 91. Lausic M. 5. Begala R. 19. Kudlicka T. 30. Khorkheli L. 20. Trello F. 14. Wildeboer T.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 77. Franco E. 67. Frederic 96. Grivic D. 9. Iliev A. 23. Krebs F. 17. Martines J. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 15. Soltani F. 14. Strinski K. 10. Tsonev B. 34. Vitanov P.	11. Azango P. 16. Bajrami M. 22. Bukovsky D. 3. Carrion J. 18. Gong H. 40. Jablonicky T. (G) 31. Janacek M. (G) 17. Mehmeti L. 25. Mensah I. 97. Poltak D. 12. Strucka K. 27. Tomic M.
Coaches
Vasev Y.	Munoz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sobrero B. ↓, Martines J. ↑,
55', Khorkheli L. 🟨,
59', Ujlaky M. 🟨,
66', Kostrna K. 🟨,
66', Meyer J. 🟨,
66', Kudlicka T. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
70', Rusev G. ↓, Frederic ↑,
70', Diallo M. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
73', Trello F. ↓, Bukovsky D. ↑,
74', Begala R. 🟨,
80', Ujlaky M. ↓, Bajrami M. ↑,
80', Wildeboer T. ↓, Poltak D. ↑,
88', Gasevic O. ↓, Soltani F. ↑,
90+2', Iliev A. 🟨,
90+3', Bukovsky D. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Meyer J. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
104', Medina D. ↓, Grivic D. ↑,
106', Khorkheli L. ↓, Strucka K. ↑,
108', Martines J. 🟨,
108', Sabo E. 🟨,
114', Strucka K. 🟨,
118', Grivic D. 🟨,
118', Mikovic M. 🟨,
119', Mikovic M. ↓, Carrion J. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Dvali L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gong H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Franco E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kostrna K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cuellar H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lausic M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Frederic (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bukovsky D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Iliev A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, CSKA 1948 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Trnava has had a series of home games.

CSKA 1948 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CSKA 1948 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA 1948 Sofia - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.26	Spartak Trnava - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.07.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Železničar Pančevo - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Varaždin - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTTL
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Superliga
25.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Skalica	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.26	Spartak Trnava - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Šamorín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.26	Spartak Trnava - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0

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