The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union II 41.4%
Draw 23.9%
New York City II 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
24.3%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
24.5%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Philadelphia Union II - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
76. Rick A. (G) 2. Martinez G. 66. Sundstrom F. 46. Moore K. 68. Griffin J. 47. LeBlanc K. 41. De Paula M. 36. Benitez O. 38. Sequera G. 45. Reed T. 54. Ruf J.
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 53. Loiola J. 23. Murray M. 77. Lopez J. 15. Pierre K. 71. Molinari P. 44. Sunjic L. 27. Flax C. 75. Kerr D. 29. Carrizo M.
Substitutes
93. Diop A. 49. Ferreira W. 52. Gallego S. 59. Gladstone T. 30. Holbrook P. (G) 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O. 40. Uzcategui R.
47. Arroyave J. 79. Danquah C. 97. Duque D. 90. McDermott D. (G) 48. Mendonca G. 83. Ponce J. 93. Samb E. 57. Suchecki J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Campos A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Molinari P. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, LeBlanc K. ⚽,
62', Martinez G. 🟨,
66', Sundstrom F. ↓, Ferreira W. ↑,
67', Sunjic L. 🟨,
78', Ruf J. 🟨,
79', Ruf J. ↓, Gladstone T. ↑,
81', Sunjic L. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
82', Martinez G. 🟨,
84', Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
84', De Paula M. ↓, Uzcategui R. ↑,
89', LeBlanc K. 🟨,
90+4', Loiola J. 🟨,
90+6', Carrizo M. ↓, Suchecki J. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, LeBlanc K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Molinari P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gladstone T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Suchecki J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sequera G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pierre K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Uzcategui R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lopez J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Moore K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 6th in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 3.
Philadelphia II is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by New York City II have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
New York City II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Philadelphia II is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia II has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Philadelphia II against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:12 goals (averaging 1.9:1.7 per game).