Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Montijo		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.83
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	5.14	3.3	1.88
	5.14	3.15	1.79
	4.7	3.32	1.7
	4.1	3.25	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (2.5)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)	1.81 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
20.2%

Draw
28.6%

Cacereño
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cacereño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cacereño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montijo won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Cacereño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Montijo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Montijo	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Unión Adarve - Montijo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLT
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Cacereño - Castellón	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Cacereño - Ursaria	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.05.23	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0
08.01.23	Montijo - Cacereño	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	Montijo - Cacereño	1:1
21.11.21	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.05.21	Montijo - Cacereño	0:0
11.04.21	Cacereño - Montijo	1:0

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