Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Numancia

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.9	1.91
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.35	3.46	1.93
	3.62	3.19	2.04
	3.85	3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.23)	2 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
25.1%

Draw
29.3%

Numancia
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cacereño - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Brene I. ⚽,
31', Deco 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Fernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, El Kounni K. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Tellechea I. ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Numancia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Illescas - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Llerenense - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Cacereño - Montijo	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Numancia - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Ursaria - Numancia	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Numancia - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Numancia - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1

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