Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Numancia		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	7
	1.39	4.1	6.5
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.38	4.29	8.62
	1.39	4.29	8.63
	1.39	4.32	7.75
	1.43	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	4.19 ↑ (3.81)	7.41 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
65.6%

Draw
22%

UD San Fernando
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

23.8%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

23.4%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Numancia - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Lupu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Lupu A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Numancia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Numancia - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	7:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	UD San Fernando - Illescas	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Paso - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	UD San Fernando - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0

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