Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	CD Guadalajara		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.7
	2.4	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.48	2.99	2.94
	2.48	2.99	2.94
	2.4	3.18	2.89
	2.3	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.83)	3.15 ↓ (3.34)	2.85 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
38.5%

Draw
29.2%

Numancia
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Guadalajara - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Moreno I. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Llerenense - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.03.24	Numancia - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	7:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Getafe B - Numancia	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Numancia - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.13	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	2:2
08.12.12	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	5:1

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