Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.03	2.38
	3.1	3.03	2.38
	3.2	2.98	2.31
	3.05	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.62)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.3 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
29.9%

Draw
30.1%

Numancia
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4%)

Ursaria - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Illescas - Ursaria	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Ursaria - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Llerenense - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.04.24	Numancia - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Numancia - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	7:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0

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