Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Cadiz CF TV


	Cadiz CF B		Estepona

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.63	3.03	2.08
	3.62	3.07	2.06	Watch
	3.59	3.18	2.04
	3.6	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.99)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cadiz CF B
25.8%

Draw
29.8%

Estepona
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.3%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

27.4%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cadiz CF B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cadiz CF B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cadiz CF B - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Lara F. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Marin A. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
79', Javirro 🟥,
90', 0 - 4, Soria Blazquez R. ⚽,

Preview

Cadiz B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Estepona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estepona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cadiz B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cadiz B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cadiz CF B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	4:0 ✺
15.09.24	Cadiz CF B - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Don Benito - Cadiz CF B	3:3 ✺
31.08.24	Cadiz CF B - Minera	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Coria CF - Cadiz CF B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.24	Estepona - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Xerez CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.24	Granada B - Estepona	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.02.24	Cadiz CF B - Estepona	1:1
01.10.23	Estepona - Cadiz CF B	0:1
Club Friendly
16.08.23	Estepona - Cadiz CF B	0:0

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