Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Granada (Granada)


	Granada B		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.34	3.1	2.85
	2.45	3.04	3
	2.39	3.02	2.96
	2.4	3.08	2.94
	2.34	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.62)	3.06 ↓ (3.27)	2.9 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
38.6%

Draw
29.9%

Estepona
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

27.2%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada B's performance.

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Granada B - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Liceras A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Granada B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estepona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Granada B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Including matches at home between the teams Granada B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada B	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Granada B - Xerez Deportivo	4:3 ✺
20.10.24	Don Benito - Granada B	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Granada B - Minera	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	San Fernando - Granada B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWLW
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Estepona - Málaga	3:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.10.24	Villanovense - Estepona	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Estepona - Linense	4:0 ✺
13.10.24	Águilas - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.08.24	Granada B - Estepona	1:4

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