Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Estepona		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.82	2.68
	2.52	2.91	3.05
	2.58	2.77	2.76
	2.45	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.87 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estepona
36%

Draw
32.2%

Xerez Deportivo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Estepona - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Beni ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Ekiza Hervas J. ⚽,

Preview

Estepona is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Xerez Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Xerez Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 2.65.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Estepona - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Xerez Deportivo - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Águilas - Estepona	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	CD Extremadura - Estepona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Estepona - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez Deportivo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:0
01.09.24	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	1:1

Upcoming Matches