Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Hong Kong Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Mexico	Claro Sports
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
United-kingdom	City+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Pluto TV


	Manchester City		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.75	Watch
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	2.22	3.7	2.78
	2.31	3.93	2.7
	2.16	3.96	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.85	2.55
	2.1	3.84	3	Watch
	2.19	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.62)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	2.8 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
42.7%

Draw
24.3%

Inter Milan
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	12.5%	81.2%

Manchester City - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Inter will win (votes: 25 - 80.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 66.7% – 94.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 82. Lewis R. 45. Khusanov A. 24. Gvardiol J. 91. Mfuni S. 8. Kovacic M. 4. Reijnders T. 26. Savinho 47. Foden P. (C) 42. Semenyo A. 67. Mubama D.	1. Martinez J. (G) 28. Pavard B. 31. Bisseck Y. 30. Carlos Augusto 17. Diouf A. 23. Barella N. (C) 5. Stankovic A. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 52. Iddrissou J.
Substitutes
21. Ait-Nouri R. 68. Alleyne M. 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 61. Braithwaite K. 92. Chabot M. (G) 30. Echeverri C. 89. Hendersson M. 81. Heskey J. 56. McAidoo R. 40. Monga J. 63. Mukasa D. 14. Nico 93. Parker X. 75. Samba F. 71. Sangare M. 22. Vitor Reis 84. Wint J. (G)	95. Bastoni A. 14. Bonny A. 46. Bovio L. 20. Calhanoglu H. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 60. Farronato M. (G) 16. Frattesi D. 53. Lavelli M. 11. Luis Henrique 54. Marello M. 56. Maye Y. 48. Mosconi M. 49. Provedel I. (G) 8. Sucic P. 58. Topalovic L. 7. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Mubama D. ⚽, Semenyo A. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Pavard B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kovacic M. ↓, Nico ↑,
46', Gvardiol J. ↓, Vitor Reis ↑,
46', Reijnders T. ↓, Ait-Nouri R. ↑,
46', Diouf A. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
46', Carlos Augusto ↓, Bastoni A. ↑,
46', Mubama D. ↓, McAidoo R. ↑,
46', Barella N. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
46', Mfuni S. ↓, Alleyne M. ↑,
46', Iddrissou J. ↓, Mosconi M. ↑,
46', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
55', Stankovic A. 🟨,
60', Stankovic A. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
61', Martinez J. ↓, Provedel I. ↑,
67', Esposito F. ↓, Lavelli M. ↑,
68', Semenyo A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
68', Foden P. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
69', Carlos Augusto ↓, Marello M. ↑,
69', Pavard B. ↓, Bovio L. ↑,
78', Bisseck Y. ↓, Maye Y. ↑,
78', Savinho ↓, Braithwaite K. ↑,
83', Khusanov A. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Ait-Nouri R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Zielinski P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Khusanov A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Frattesi D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nico (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mosconi M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Echeverri C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lavelli M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location - Hong Kong Stadium.

Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Man City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Man City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
24.05.26	Manchester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bournemouth - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.05.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.05.26	Manchester City - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Manchester City - Brentford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWW
- Inter Milan
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Karlsruher - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.05.26	Bologna - Inter Milan	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Inter Milan - Verona	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.05.26	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Manchester City - Inter Milan	0:0
10.06.23	Manchester City - Inter Milan	1:0

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