Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 15

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Cailungo		San Marino Academy U22

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.31	3.4	2.65
	2.36	3.49	2.65	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.31	3.32	2.64
	2.3	3.4	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)	3.33 ↓ (3.59)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cailungo
38.5%

Draw
27.1%

San Marino Academy U22
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

24.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cailungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

San Marino Academy U22 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marino Academy U22 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cailungo - San Marino Academy U22 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Tamagnini S. ⚽, Giulio M. B. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Bua A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
15	San Marino Academy U22	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.02.26	Faetano - Cailungo	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Cailungo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Murata - Cailungo	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Cailungo - Folgore	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLWL
- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.02.26	Virtus - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Penne	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	La Fiorita - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	San Marino Academy U22 - AC Libertas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.04.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Cailungo	1:1
05.10.23	San Marino Academy U22 - Cailungo	0:1

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