Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 20

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Faetano		Cailungo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.05	2.62
	2.62	2.84	2.69
	2.56	3.21	2.6	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.49	3.1	2.58
	2.54	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.37)	3 ↓ (3.35)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faetano
35.6%

Draw
30%

Cailungo
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Cailungo aligns with the current prediction.

Faetano - Cailungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Michelucci R. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Michelucci R. ⚽, De Luca K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
71', 1 - 2, Zonzini K. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Montalti D. 🟥,
86', 2 - 2, Golinucci E. ⚽, Elia G. (A),
90', 3 - 2, Pallante G. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
31.01.26	Pennarossa - Faetano	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Faetano - Folgore	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Tre Penne - Faetano	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Faetano - Murata	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tre Fiori - Faetano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL
- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.02.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Cailungo	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Murata - Cailungo	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Cailungo - Folgore	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Virtus - Cailungo	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.10.25	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1
19.01.25	Faetano - Cailungo	0:1
31.08.24	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1
21.02.24	Faetano - Cailungo	2:0
29.10.23	Cailungo - Faetano	4:1
06.04.23	Cailungo - Faetano	5:2
10.12.22	Faetano - Cailungo	3:0

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