The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varese 37.4%
Draw 27.8%
Sestri Levante 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.6%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
27.7%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Sestri Levante aligns with the current prediction.
Varese - Sestri Levante Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Ferretti A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Salducco V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 3, Ferretti A. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
Varese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sestri Levante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Watch
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