Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Calahorra		Eldense

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.8
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.56	3.18	1.91
	4.35	3.28	1.85
	3.95	3.2	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.96)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
21.6%

Draw
29.1%

Eldense
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

32.7%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.5%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eldense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calahorra - Eldense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Calahorra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eldense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Castellón - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Calahorra - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Real Sociedad B - Calahorra	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Calahorra	3:2 ✺
12.03.23	Calahorra - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLLT
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Amorebieta - Eldense	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Eldense - Intercity	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	SD Logroñés - Eldense	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Eldense - Real Sociedad B	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Cornellà - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Eldense - Calahorra	4:0

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