Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Amorebieta		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.65
	2.7	3	2.75	Watch
	2.81	3.25	2.4
	2.87	2.95	2.94
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.81	2.99	2.74	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.87)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.7 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
34.1%

Draw
31.2%

Eldense
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	62.5%	6.2%

Amorebieta - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 2. Mier J. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 15. Nunez A. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 20. Sibo K. 17. Rodriguez R. 10. Edwards R. 9. Jauregi E.	31. Aceves A. (G) 2. Toni Abad 4. Dumic D. 5. Magana I. S. 23. Mateu M. 17. Clemente J. 8. Ortuno S. 24. Timor D. 21. Bernal A. 11. Ortuno J. 20. Chapela I.
Substitutes
5. Bustinza U. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 4. Manu 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I. 29. Troncho A. 23. Unzueta I.	18. Capo P. 15. Dauda M. 12. Derick Poloni 22. Doue M. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 3. Martinez A. 14. Miguelon 25. Monsalve N. 10. Montes C. 9. Soberon M. 1. Vallejo G. (G)
Coaches
Jandro	Estevez F.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eldense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLTL
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
15.01.24	Eldense - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Eldense - Twente	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Eldense - Racing Santander	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	Leganés - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Eldense - Amorebieta	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Amorebieta - Eldense	1:0
10.12.22	Eldense - Amorebieta	1:1

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