Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday


	Fluminense Piaui		Ceará

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.53
	4.75	3.65	1.57
	5.94	3.76	1.57
	5.8	3.6	1.52
	5.6	3.94	1.53	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (3.25)	3.78 ↑ (3.64)	1.55 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense Piaui
16.7%

Draw
24.2%

Ceará
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.3%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense Piaui's form might have worsened.

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense Piaui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Fluminense Piaui - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fluminense PI will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ceará will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Fluminense PI is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Campinense	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
12.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Comercial PI	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
04.02.23	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Ceará - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
07.02.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
31.01.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWT

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