Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caldense		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	5.7	3.2	1.6
	6	3.35	1.5
	6	3.52	1.51
	5.5	3.2	1.57
	5.75	3.68	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (3)	3.41 ↑ (2.77)	1.55 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
15.6%

Draw
26.4%

Noroeste
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

32.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldense's form might have worsened.

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noroeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Caldense - Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Noroeste will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noroeste: 38.6% – 83.6%.

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Preview

Caldense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Noroeste is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Noroeste to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	Bahia de Feira - Caldense	1:0 ✺
25.06.22	Caldense - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	URT - Caldense	3:2 ✺
11.06.22	Caldense - Nova Venécia	1:2 ✺
04.06.22	Ferroviária - Caldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.22	Noroeste - Ferroviária	3:0 ✺
25.06.22	Noroeste - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
19.06.22	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	2:1 ✺
11.06.22	Noroeste - URT	0:0 ✺
04.06.22	Bahia de Feira - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
24.04.22	Noroeste - Caldense	2:1

Caldense - Noroeste