Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 8

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Zenor Pedrosa Rocha (Nova Venécia)


	Nova Venécia		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.06	2.24
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3.06 ↓ (3.24)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Venécia
28.8%

Draw
30.1%

Noroeste
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Nova Venécia - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Flavio (G) 10. Alex Pixote 8. Darlan 2. Gustavo Toro 4. Lucas Tavares (C) 6. Lyncon 17. Matheusinho 9. Moroto 5. Parmanhani K. 3. Pedro Ibelli 16. Pepe	1. Diego (G) 5. Balbino 17. da Silva R. 10. Dudu Pedrotti 18. Gilbert 7. Juninho Potiguar 13. Lucas Neres 3. Patrick 2. Ryan 8. Victor Salvador 4. Willian
Substitutes
22. Aubin 14. Braian 15. Caio Pacheco 13. Erik Moreira (G) 20. Gabriel Simiao 7. Gerson 23. Joao Gabriel 11. Oliveira Ch. 18. Ronald 19. Sandrinho 21. Thaylan	16. Angelo 22. Antonio Carlos 11. Caxito 14. Di Stefano . ED 21. GB 12. Gustavo (G) 6. Leandro Cabecinha 20. Marcelinho 9. Piaui 19. Ramon 23. Renato

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lucas Tavares 🟨,
45+1', Lucas Neres 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
63', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Marcelinho ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nova Venécia won 1.

Nova Venécia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noroeste will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nova Venécia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nova Venécia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
13.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Nova Venécia - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLT
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
11.02.25	Noroeste - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Capixaba SC - Noroeste	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Vitória ES - Noroeste	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
04.02.24	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:1
22.04.23	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	3:1
15.04.23	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	0:0
05.02.23	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	0:1
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.22	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	2:1
14.05.22	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
20.03.22	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	0:1

Nova Venécia - Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide