Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Caldiero Terme		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.54	2.92	2.95
	2.54	2.94	3.01	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.45	2.93	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)	2.94 ↓ (3.25)	2.85 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
36.7%

Draw
31.2%

Pro Patria
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Caldiero Terme have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caldiero Terme will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Pro Patria will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giacomel A. (G) 28. Molnar I. 24. Gobetti N. 23. Baldani N. 15. Gecchele P. 8. Filiciotto A. 4. Gattoni T. 6. Furini E. 11. Marras T. 10. Fasan N. 9. Quaggio A.	1. Rovida W. (G) 5. Bashi E. 27. Cavalli T. 13. Alcibiade R. 28. Somma M. 6. Mehic A. 8. Palazzi A. 18. Piran L. 7. Curatolo D. 10. Nicco G. 9. Beretta G.
Substitutes
91. Aldegheri L. (G) 5. Amoh A. A. 85. Cisse O. 20. Florio M. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 33. Mazzolo F. 26. Mondini G. 14. Pelamatti A. 3. Personi L. 7. Zerbato L.	14. Citterio G. 21. Ferrario L. 25. Ferri D. 24. Miculi M. 11. Pitou J. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 33. Sassaro A. 31. Terrani G. 29. Toci E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Marras T. ⚽,
21', Somma M. 🟨,
34', Baldani N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Nicco G. 🟨,
59', Curatolo D. ↓, Toci E. ↑,
59', Palazzi A. ↓, Pitou J. ↑,
62', Molnar I. 🟥,
63', 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Beretta G. ⚽,
67', Furini E. ↓, Mazzolo F. ↑,
68', Quaggio A. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
76', Filiciotto A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
76', Cazzadori D. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
79', Piran L. ↓, Terrani G. ↑,
79', Nicco G. ↓, Ferri D. ↑,
80', Marras T. 🟨,
83', Cavalli T. 🟨,
83', Mondini G. 🟨,
85', Beretta G. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

Caldiero Terme has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pro Patria is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Pro Patria to win the game is with odds 2.8.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.24	FeralpiSalò - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
30.09.24	Pergolettese - Caldiero Terme	3:2 ✺
25.09.24	Caldiero Terme - Alcione	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Trento - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.24	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Union Clodiense - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Pro Patria - Novara	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Pro Patria - Padova	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWTTT

Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide