The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Patria 14.2%
Draw 25%
Padova 60.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
27.2%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
27%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - Padova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 13. Alcibiade R. 5. Bashi E. 27. Cavalli T. 7. Curatolo D. 6. Mehic A. 10. Nicco G. 8. Palazzi A. 18. Piran L. 28. Somma M. 29. Toci E.
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 6. Crisetig L. 2. Delli Carri F. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 26. Kirwan N. 21. Liguori M. 9. Spagnoli A. 7. Varas K.
Substitutes
9. Beretta G. 21. Ferrario L. 25. Ferri D. 75. Mallamo A. 24. Miculi M. 11. Pitou J. 12. Pratelli L. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 33. Sassaro A. 31. Terrani G. 30. Vaglica G.
33. Bensi N. (G) 15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 29. Broh J. 17. Capelli A. 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 23. Granata A. 5. Perrotta M. 10. Russini S. 19. Valente N. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Curatolo D. ⚽,
19', Liguori M. 🟨,
19', Nicco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Faedo C. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
46', Fusi P. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
60', Kirwan N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
63', Mehic A. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
63', Nicco G. ↓, Ferri D. ↑,
65', Rovida W. 🟨,
66', Liguori M. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
73', Curatolo D. ↓, Terrani G. ↑,
73', Palazzi A. ↓, Vaglica G. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Capelli A. ⚽,
79', Toci E. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
90', Beretta G. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 0.
Pro Patria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Padova in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Padova is certain favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.
Italy
Watch
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Rovida W. (G) 
Bashi E. 
Mehic A. 
Kirwan N. 
Varas K. 
Pitou J. 
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