Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Caldiero Terme		Trento

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.83	3.3	2.04
	3.79	3.23	2.04	Watch
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.59	3.25	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.46)	3.18 ↑ (3.16)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
25.5%

Draw
28.9%

Trento
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

28.5%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Caldiero Terme - Trento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Crespi G. M. (G) 13. Pelagatti C. 24. Gobetti N. 3. Nessi R. 33. Mazzolo F. 4. Gattoni T. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 11. Marras T. 97. Cazzadori D. 20. Florio M. 90. Scappini S.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 20. Di Cosmo L. 8. Cappelletti D. (C) 5. Kassama S. 80. Fini R. 23. Aucelli C. 77. Rada A. 21. Peralta D. 7. Anastasia E. 13. Di Carmine S. 11. Disanto F.
Substitutes
9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 10. Fasan N. 15. Gecchele P. 1. Giacomel A. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 28. Molnar I. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 12. Vanti E. (G) 7. Zerbato L.	99. Accornero F. 3. Bernardi E. 19. Cappelli T. 54. Falasco N. 62. Frosinini R. 70. Ghillani A. 9. Petrovic T. 12. Santer L. (G) 22. Tommasi M. (G) 4. Trainotti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nessi R. ⚽,
8', Anastasia E. 🟨,
34', Gattoni T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Anastasia E. ↓, Accornero F. ↑,
56', Fini R. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
61', Scappini S. ↓, Molnar I. ↑,
64', Mazzolo F. 🟨,
66', Rada A. 🟨,
72', Florio M. ↓, Cisse O. ↑,
72', Marras T. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
77', Peralta D. ↓, Petrovic T. ↑,
77', Di Cosmo L. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
79', Frosinini R. ↓, Trainotti A. ↑,
81', Mazzolo F. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Cisse O. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Caldiero Terme has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Trento is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caldiero Terme could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Trento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Caldiero Terme won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Caldiero Terme - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
19.01.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
05.01.25	Lecco - Trento	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Trento - Padova	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Vicenza Virtus - Trento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.09.24	Trento - Caldiero Terme	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.24	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group C
06.01.21	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:2

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