Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 31

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257


	Giana Erminio		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.64	3.8	4.9
	1.62	3.98	4.8
	1.64	3.93	5.01	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.57	3.74	5.16	Watch
	1.64	3.8	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	4.91 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
56.8%

Draw
24.4%

Caldiero Terme
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giana Erminio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Caldiero Terme will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 14. Colombara M. 47. Scaringi M. 27. Alborghetti M. 26. Caferri L. 10. Lamesta A. 19. Marotta M. 4. Pinto D. 23. De Maria V. 6. Montipo M. 8. Tirelli M.	1. Giacomel A. (G) 15. Gecchele P. 44. Nessi R. 13. Pelagatti C. 14. Pelamatti A. 8. Filiciotto A. 26. Mondini G. 11. Marras T. 10. Fasan N. 29. Lanzi E. 7. Zerbato L. (C)
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 12. Buzzi G. (G) 11. Capelli A. . Ferri L. 29. Moro L. (G) . Nichetti M. 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 24. Pirotta D. 99. Renda F. . Stuckler D.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 97. Cazzadori D. 85. Cisse O. 20. Florio M. 24. Gobetti N. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 28. Molnar I. 3. Parodi G. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pinto D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Lanzi E. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Tirelli M. ⚽,
65', Zerbato L. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
65', Nessi R. ↓, Gobetti N. ↑,
67', Scaringi M. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽,
76', Tirelli M. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
76', Lamesta A. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
76', Alborghetti M. ↓, Ferri L. ↑,
79', Pelamatti A. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,
79', Mondini G. ↓, Squarzoni S. A. ↑,
80', De Maria V. 🟨,
85', Pinto D. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
90', Mangiapoco S. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, De Maria V. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Giana Erminio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caldiero Terme is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Giana Erminio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
09.03.25	Novara - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Giana Erminio - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLWW
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
09.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Renate	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Pro Patria - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Caldiero Terme - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Virtus Verona - Caldiero Terme	5:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
29.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	1:0

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