Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Trento		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	3.13	3.2	2.44
	2.67	3.18	2.66	Watch
	2.66	3.24	2.7
	2.7	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.46)	2.56 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
34.2%

Draw
29.3%

Atalanta U23
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Trento - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trento will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 44. Maffei M. 4. Trainotti A. 6. Barison A. 54. Falasco N. 20. Di Cosmo L. 23. Aucelli C. 10. Giannotti P. 7. Anastasia E. 9. Petrovic T. 11. Disanto F.	95. Vismara P. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 3. Del Lungo T. 15. Obric R. 66. Bergonzi F. 8. Gyabuaa M. 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 14. Ghislandi D. 31. Cassa F. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
99. Accornero F. 8. Cappelletti D. 19. Cappelli T. 13. Di Carmine S. 70. Ghillani A. 21. Peralta D. 77. Rada A. 38. Sangalli M. 12. Santer L. (G) 22. Tommasi M. (G)	26. Alessio F. 34. Artesani N. 4. Berto G. 13. Comi P. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 9. De Nipoti T. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 5. Pounga D. K. . Riccio L. 25. Scheffer M. 2. Tornaghi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Panada S. ⚽,
34', Vismara P. 🟨,
36', Falasco N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Petrovic T. ⚽,
42', Disanto F. ↓, Accornero F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ghislandi D. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
46', Falasco N. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
60', Anastasia E. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
60', Petrovic T. ↓, Di Carmine S. ↑,
70', Pounga D. K. 🟨,
77', Bernasconi L. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
78', Vlahovic V. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
80', Barison A. ↓, Cappelletti D. ↑,
84', Panada S. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
89', Cassa F. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
90+2', Maffei M. 🟨,
90+5', Obric R. 🟨,

Preview

Trento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atalanta U23 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Novara - Trento	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Trento - Renate	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTLW
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Lecco - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Union Clodiense - Atalanta U23	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Pro Patria - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	2:2
07.09.24	Atalanta U23 - Trento	1:1
07.05.24	Atalanta U23 - Trento	3:1
13.01.24	Atalanta U23 - Trento	1:0
10.09.23	Trento - Atalanta U23	0:0

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