Match Info

Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Caldiero Terme		Triestina

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.85	3.25	1.95
	4.2	3.25	2.04
	4.19	3.06	2	Watch
	4.21	3.11	1.92	Watch
	3.85	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.21)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	1.99 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
23.8%

Draw
29.3%

Triestina
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.4%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldiero Terme's form might have worsened.

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Triestina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caldiero Terme - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Crespi G. M. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 13. Pelagatti C. 24. Gobetti N. 44. Nessi R. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 4. Gattoni T. 26. Mondini G. 11. Marras T. 97. Cazzadori D. 10. Fasan N.	1. Roos K. (G) 17. Jonsson K. 5. Frare D. 19. Silvestri T. 21. Tonetto M. 16. Fiordilino L. 7. Ionita A. 15. Correia O. (C) 77. Cortinovis A. 13. Strizzolo L. 99. Olivieri M.
Substitutes
91. Aldegheri L. (G) 9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 15. Gecchele P. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 28. Molnar I. 3. Parodi G. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 7. Zerbato L.	2. Bianay Balcot C. 44. Bianconi A. 3. Bijleveld T. 12. Borriello F. (G) 18. Cancellieri D. 46. Embalo Sambu B. 73. Kosijer S. 30. Mastrantonio D. (G) 27. Udoh K. 42. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Filiciotto A. 🟨,
11', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Fiordilino L. ↓, Embalo Sambu B. ↑,
57', Mondini G. 🟨,
61', Strizzolo L. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
62', Cortinovis A. ↓, Voca I. ↑,
63', Marras T. ↓, Gecchele P. ↑,
72', Silvestri T. 🟥,
74', Olivieri M. ↓, Bianconi A. ↑,
81', Cazzadori D. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
81', Mondini G. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
85', Pelagatti C. ↓, Molnar I. ↑,
85', Fasan N. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Triestina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caldiero Terme won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Caldiero Terme won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Union Clodiense - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Lecco	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Lumezzane - Caldiero Terme	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Triestina - Novara	6:0 ✺
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Triestina - Padova	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Renate - Triestina	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Triestina - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:2
08.09.24	Triestina - Caldiero Terme	0:1

Caldiero Terme - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide