Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:00	Footballclub


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.35	3.00	2.70
	2.42	3	2.65
	2.56	2.96	2.77
	2.57	3.03	2.72
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.54	2.93	2.61
	2.47	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.46)	3 ↓ (3.21)	2.68 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
36.3%

Draw
30.1%

Alcalá
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Calvo Sotelo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Alcalá have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	RSD Alcala	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.26	Valladolid B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Real Ávila - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Salamanca - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Alcalá - Talavera de la Reina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW

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