Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 23

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Conquense		Marchamalo

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Conquense
58.1%

Draw
26.9%

Marchamalo
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

27%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

25.3%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).

Conquense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marchamalo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Conquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Conquense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Conquense to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Conquense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Conquense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.02.24	Huracán Balazote - Conquense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Villacañas - Conquense	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Conquense - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Conquense - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Conquense - Villarrobledo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWW
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.02.24	Marchamalo - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Cazalegas - Marchamalo	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarrobledo - Marchamalo	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Marchamalo - Azuqueca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLTT

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
15.10.23	Marchamalo - Conquense	0:2
01.04.23	Conquense - Marchamalo	0:0
04.12.22	Marchamalo - Conquense	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.03.18	Marchamalo - Conquense	1:4

Conquense - Marchamalo