Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Camaiore		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3.1	2.15
	3.16	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.15	3.13	2.16
	3.1	3.25	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.54)	3.13 ↓ (3.48)	2.15 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camaiore
29.2%

Draw
28.8%

Ghiviborgo
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.5%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camaiore's form might have worsened.

Ghiviborgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camaiore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Camaiore - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Fischer F. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Nieri M. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Magazzu L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 2 - 2, Mariotti L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).

Camaiore has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ghiviborgo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camaiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Camaiore - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Siena - Camaiore	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Camaiore - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Poggibonsi - Camaiore	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWL
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ghiviborgo - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghiviborgo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ghiviborgo - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Foligno - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT

Camaiore - Ghiviborgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide