Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday


	Siena		Camaiore

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.55
	1.63	3.84	4.59	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.6	3.62	4.99
	1.61	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.17)	3.65 ↑ (3.46)	4.68 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
56%

Draw
24.7%

Camaiore
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siena's performance.

Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camaiore might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camaiore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Siena - Camaiore Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Siena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Camaiore (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Siena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Siena is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Camaiore has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Siena is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Montevarchi - Siena	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Siena - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Siena - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Foligno - Siena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Camaiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.12.25	Camaiore - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Poggibonsi - Camaiore	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
16.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Camaiore	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Camaiore - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

Siena - Camaiore: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide